Top Ten Picks

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 2022-23 Bowl Season Extravaganza 

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2022-23 Record

21-26

5-5 in Top Ten

2021-22 Record 

24-14-1

6-4 in Top Ten

Top Ten Picks revealed after the kickoff of the game

Oregon St -10.5 - WIN

Boise St -9.5 - LOSS

Toledo -4.5 - LOSS

Utah St +7.5 - LOSS

Coastal +10.5 - LOSS

Arkansas -3 - LOSS

Florida St ML - WIN

Notre Dame -2.5  - WIN

LSU -15 - WIN

Penn St -1 - WIN

Dec 16th 

Bahamas Bowl – Miami (OH) vs UAB -9.5 o/u44.5

Miami (OH) was up and down all year, but put it all together in the final weeks of the regular season beating NIU and Ball St to finish the year 6-6.  UAB is led by DeWayne McBride who rushed for 1,700+ yards averaging over 7 yards per carry and should have a field day against a Miami team that struggled to stop the run.

Pick – UAB -9.5 - LOSS

Cure Bowl – Troy vs UTSA +1.5 o/u54.5  

Frank Harris takes his 6 years of experience and Conference USA championship into the Cure bowl against a red hot Troy team that won it's final 10 games of the season.  Both teams put up a ton of points and are playing for conference pride.

Pick – OVER 54.5 - LOSS

Dec 17th 

Fenway Bowl - Cincinnati vs Louisville -1.5 o/u44.5

We never like picking a team with a coach that has already left before the Bowl game, but what happens when both coaches are gone.  Luke Fickell took off for greener pastures in Madison and Jeff Brohm heads home back to Louisville after Scott Satterfield left to coach none other than Cincinnati.  What a tangled web the college coaching world is, following Day of Our Lives might be easier.  Neither team impressed much, but we think the Bearcats might be in better shape to put their best foot forward

Pick - Cincinnati +1.5 - LOSS

Celebration Bowl - Jackson St vs N.C. Central +15.5 o/u55.5

With Deion Sanders departure and a low list of players either on their way to Colorado or opting out this is a no brainer pick for N.C. Central getting over two touchdowns.

Pick - N.C. Central +15.5 - WIN UNDER 55.5 - LOSS

Las Vegas Bowl – Oregon St vs Florida +10.5 o/u51.5

In the high altitude and bright lights of the Vegas strip Oregon St comes in riding high after beating hated rival Oregon and ruining their chances at a PAC 12 title.  Florida had a disappointing season finishing 5th in the SEC east and losing their last two games, including a loss to Vandy.

Pick – Oregon St -10.5 - WIN

LA Bowl – Washington St vs Fresno St -3 o/u55

Wazzu was a tough team all year and did its' job beating the bottom feeders of the PAC 12.  Fresno won the Mountain West behind a stout defense and the senior leadership of qb Jake Haener.  We don't expect either team to light up the scoreboard but we do expect a fun competitive game.

Pick – UNDER 55 - WIN

Lending Tree Bowl – Rice vs Southern Mississippi -6.5 o/u45.4

Rice is the only team in Bowl Season with a losing record and their defense is to blame.  The Owl give up an average of nearly 34 point per game and have lost 3 in a row to finish their dreadful season.  The Eagles are not much better and frankly they should not be giving anyone points let alone nearly a touchdown.

Pick – Rice +6.5 - LOSS

New Mexico Bowl – SMU vs BYU +2.5 o/u57.5

BYU had a great start and a great finish to their season.  Junior qb Jaren Hall threw for 31 tds with just 6 ints.  BYU all of BYU's losses their year were to Bowl teams, but SMU is also a Bowl team. The Ponies score a ton and also let up a ton.  This is a classic matchup where we think points will come easy.

Pick – OVER 57.5 - LOSS

Frisco Bowl – Boise St vs North Texas +9.5 o/u57.5

The 2022 Frisco Bowl is a battle of two teams that fell just short and lost in their conference championship games.  Boise St was led by a stifling defense that gave up just 18.5 points per game.  The Mean Green of North Texas come in with one of the nation's worst defenses giving up 460 yards per game. Expect the Broncos to take advantage of North Texas' porous pass defense and win this game big.

Pick – Boise St -9.5 - LOSS

Dec 19th

Myrtle Beach Bowl – Marshall vs UCONN +10.5 o/u40.5 

UCONN came a long way this season after getting their doors blown off by Michigan in week 4.  Since then the Huskies have won 5 of 8 including wins over Mountain West Champ Fresno St and a tough Liberty team.  Marshall finished 3rd in the Sun Belt and ran off 3 straight to finish the year 8-4.  UCONN has struggled to score throughout the season and Marshall brings in a top defense.

Pick – Marshall -10.5 - WIN

Dec 20th  

Idaho Potato Bowl – EMU vs San Jose St -3.5 o/u54.5

San Jose St is led by Chevan Cordeiro their standout Junior QB and a strong defense that bends but doesn't break.  Eastern Michigan disappointed last year in the Lending Tree Bowl and is just 1-5 all time in bowl games.

Picks – San Jose St -3.5 - LOSS

Boca Raton Bowl – Liberty vs Toledo -4.5 o/u53.5 

Easy game, Hugh Freeze is gone and already recruiting at Auburn.  Toledo has a long an storied history in Bowl games going 10-9 all time, but has fell on hard times recently losing their last 4.  They won the MAC with a tough as nail defense that really came alive in the final weeks of the season.  

Pick – Toledo -4.5 - LOSS

Dec 21st 

New Orleans Bowl – South Alabama vs Western Kentucky +7.5 o/u54.5

South Alabama closed the year with 5 straight wins and 8 out of their last 9.  Western Kentucky did not miss a beat after the departure of Billy Napier.  The Hilltoppers averaged nearly 36 points per game and over 480 yards. This game has shootout written all over it.

Picks – OVER 54.5 - WIN

Dec 22nd 

Armed Forces Bowl – Baylor vs Air Force +6.5 o/u49.5

Normally Army would be in this game, but they did not become bowl eligible until after their double OT win against Navy.  Air Force brings its' triple option attack and stout defense to Fort Worth in what amounts to a home game for the Baylor Bears.  If Baylor is motivated and that is a big if, they should handle Air Force with ease.  But Baylor looked disinterested in the final weeks of the regular season losing 3 in a row to the top of the Big 12.

Pick – Baylor -6.5 - LOSS

Dec 23rd 

Independence Bowl – Houston vs Louisiana +6.5 o/u60.5

Houston should dominate this game.  They put up points all year long scoring under 30 just one time.  The Ragin Cajuns had a down year finishing 7th in the Sun Belt and losing to every decent team they played late in the season.  Beware the homefield advantage for the Cajuns as this game is being played in Shreveport, not the deep bayou that they thrive in.

Pick – Houston ML - WIN

Gasparilla Bowl – Wake Forest vs Missouri +1.5 o/u61.5

Sam Hartman leads a Wake team that had bigger dreams this year than the Gasparilla Bowl.  The Demon Deacons can score with anybody, but can't stop anyone.  Missouri had no good wins on the year and Tennessee put up 66 on the Tigers in early November. 

Pick – Wake -1.5 - WIN

Dec 24th 

Hawai’i Bowl – MTSU vs San Diego St -6.5 o/u49.5

Yes MTSU had a thrilling win over Miami, but Miami turned out to be a giant dud this year.  San Diego St did not have a quality win, Toledo in late September might be their best win.  If we could pick no one we would and we are sadden for the great and football obsessed people of Hawai'i who have to watch this matchup.

Pick – UNDER 49.5 - WIN

Dec 26th 

Quick Lane Bowl –  Bowling Green vs New Mexico St +2.5 o/u47.5

 New Mexico St allows just 183 yards passing per game and the Falcons of Bowling Green are a pass happy offense.  Defense usually trumps offense, especially in bowl games and the Aggies have never lost a bowl game going 3-0-1 all time.

Pick – New Mexico St +2.5 _ WIN

Dec 27th 

Camellia Bowl – Buffalo vs Georgia Southern -3.5 o/u66.5

In a battle of 6-6 teams for the Group of 5 we like to think matchups like this are the heart and soul of Bowl Season.  Everyone can get excited about Georgia vs Ohio St, Florida St vs Oklahoma, or Utah vs Penn St, but on a quiet Tuesday afternoon games like this one will give you a reason to be glued to your seat.  Both teams are 2-3 in their last 5 and both teams give up around 30 points per game.  If that doesn't smell like a OVER to you, you should get your nose checked.

Pick - OVER 66.5 - LOSS

First Responder – Memphis vs Utah St +7.5 o/u62.5

Utah St improved throughout the year winning 5 of their final 7.  Memphis went the other way losing 5 of their final 7.  We'll take the "hot" team in a matchup that offers little in the way of quality.

Pick – Utah St +7.5 - LOSS & ML - LOSS

Birmingham Bowl – Coastal Carolina vs East Carolina -10.5 o/u59.5 

How many years has Grayson McCall been at Coastal?  God only knows, but when he is healthy he is a top player at his level.  East Carolina runs a hybrid option attack that gives teams fits in the regular season, but in bowl season with a month of preparation it is usually shutdown.   

Pick – Coastal +10.5 - LOSS & ML - LOSS

Guaranteed Rate Bowl – Oklahoma St vs Wisconsin -3 o/u43.5

Never has a good team quit on a good coach as much as the Cowboys quit on Mike Gundy down the stretch this season.  The Cowboys got smoked in Manhattan, Kansas and never recovered.  Wisconsin will be playing for their new coach, Luke Fickell and will surely show up, sadly the same can not be said for Oklahoma St.

Pick – Wisconsin -3 - WIN

Dec 28th 

Military Bowl – Duke vs UCF -1.5 o/u62.5

With two high flying offenses and pretty much no show defenses this game should be screaming OVER, but as the great Lee Corso used to say "Not so fast my friend".  Neither team reached their lofty goals for the 2022 season and this game is being played outside on Wednesday after Christmas.  Neither team will play with too much desire and neither team will execute.

Picks – UNDER 62.5 - WIN

Liberty Bowl – Arkansas vs Kansas +3 o/u68.5 

Last year's Liberty Bowl went UNDER and this year's might too, but that's not the play.  Arkansas has good running attack and Kansas can't stop anyone.  It is true that Kansas will be excited to play in their first bowl game since 2008, but that still won't be enough to overcome the Razorback rushing attack.

Pick – Arkansas -3 - LOSS

Holiday Bowl –  Oregon vs North Carolina +12.5 o/u71.5

The Holiday Bowl is what all bowls should be.  It is hosted in sunny San Diego, usually features up tempo offensive teams and generally puts out on a good show.  Oregon has a lot to prove after laying an egg against Oregon St to cost themselves a shot at the PAC 12 title.  UNC is led by QB Drake Maye who faltered down the stretch but should be revived with a solid 4 weeks of rest.  Mack Brown  is 14-10 in bowls overall, but  is just 1-2 with UNC.

Pick – Oregon -12.5 - LOSS

Texas Bowl –Texas Tech vs Ole Miss -3.5 o/u69.5 

Last year the Kansas St Wildcats beat LSU in this great Big 12 vs SEC bowl game.  This year the Red Raiders have a tough task of slowing down an Ole Miss team that averaged 34 points per game and nearly 500 yards of offense.  But Tech finished the year winning 3 in a row and the Rebs lost their 3 and were plagued by questions of whether their coach Lane Kiffen would be back next season.  Now that we know Lane is staying in Oxford this Rebel team should right the ship.

Pick – Ole Miss ML - LOSS

Dec 29th  

Pinstripe Bowl – Minnesota vs Syracuse +7.5 o/u42.5

Syracuse had a great start to the year, but that was a very long time ago.  Minnesota's rushing attack is as good as anyone's in the country and that should be the difference in a low scoring lightly attended game.  

Pick – Minnesota ML - WIN

Cheez-it Bowl – Florida St vs Oklahoma +7.5 o/u64.5 

In what Sirius XM listeners will not doubt dub the Dusty and Danny bowl the Sooners have an opportunity to finish their disappointing 2022 campaign on a high note.  Frankly we were shocked Florida State did not get a better bowl game, but those are the breaks when you lose to every ranked team you played.

Pick – Florida St ML - WIN

Alamo Bowl – Washington vs Texas -5.5 o/u68.5

The Alamo Bowl is a great bowl with some fantastic history.  This year's matchup is top notch and many an eyeball will be glued to the TV come 9pm on that Thursday night.  Michael Penix Jr leads a Huskie team that over performed all year long and fell just short of making the PAC 12 Championship game.  Texas had some issues getting going this season, but nearly knocked off Alabama early on.  Bijan Robinson put up over 1500 yards and is one of the best backs in the country.

Pick – Texas -5.5 - LOSS

Dec 30th  

Mayo Bowl – NC State vs Maryland -1.5 o/u48

Maryland is led by Taulia Tagovailoa who had a nice productive season.  NC State had high expectations this year based on nothing really.  They were inconsistent all year long and never lived up to the hype that they for some reason garnered this offseason.

Pick – Maryland ML - WIN

Sun Bowl – UCLA vs Pittsburgh +6.5 o/u57.5

DTR and Charbonnet lead a talented Bruin team into El Paso to face a Pitt squad that righted the ship at the end of the year winning their last 4 games.  UCLA struggled on the defensive side of the ball in 2022 but they were also facing much better talent than what the Panthers will be bringing.

Pick – UCLA -6.5 - LOSS

Gator Bowl – South Carolina vs Notre Dame -2.5 o/u51.5

A lot of people are going to tell you that Spencer Rattler turned the corner at the end of the season and is finally living up to talent.  Well a lot of people are wrong.  The Gamecocks and Rattler in general benefitted from a weak SEC and an overrated Clemson team. 

Pick – Notre Dame -2.5 - WIN

Arizona Bowl – Ohio vs Wyoming +1.5 o/u42.5

With and over/under this low you almost have to be the UNDER.  Take the defenses and pray Krutis Rourke doesn't come back to life after getting demolished by Toledo in the MAC Championship game. 

Pick – UNDER 42.5 - LOSS

Orange Bowl – Tennessee vs Clemson -6.5 o/u64.5

If Hendon Hooker were healthy the Vols would run away from this Clemson team.  Of course Hooker is not and Cade Kulnick is.  The Tigers are a tough team and finally have a QB worthy of their defense.

Pick – Clemson -6.5 - LOSS, UNDER 64.5 - WIN

Dec 31st  

Music City Bowl – Iowa vs Kentucky +2.5 o/u31.5

This might be the lowest O/U in a bowl game ever.  Yes Iowa's offense did not wake up till mid way through the season and yes Kentucky has a tough defense.  Mark Stoops has won 4 bowl games in a row, but Will Levis is skipping the bowl game and even though he is no star he still was a rock for the Wilcats all year.

Pick – Iowa ML - WIN

Sugar Bowl – Alabama vs Kansas St +3.5 o/u54.5

This game is all about motivation.  How much did Nick Saban's pleading for a CFP birth deflate his team when they didn't get in.  Kansas St should be riding high off their Big 12 Championship and surprise season.  Take the Wilcats against an uninterested Tide. 

Pick – KSU +3.5 - LOSS

College Football Playoff  

Fiesta Bowl – Michigan vs TCU +7.5 o/u58.5  

TCU and Max Duggan have the greatest quality of all, they are tough.  The Horned Frogs will not get blown out, they will be in the game in the 4th quarter and they will have a chance to win late.  Michigan has shown an ability to handle whatever has been thrown at them over the last two years as long as it wasn't from Georgia.  This should be a classic game and one no one will forget any time soon.

Pick – Michigan ML - LOSS

College Football Playoff

Peach Bowl – Georgia vs Ohio St +6.5 o/u61.5

Ohio St under Ryan Day is a powder puff team that is undersized and under aggressive in the trenches.  Georgia is a bigger, stronger, and nastier version of Michigan.  This one might get ugly fast.  

Pick – Georgia -6.5 - LOSS, UNDER 61.5 - LOSS

Jan 2nd 

ReliaQuest Bowl – Mississippi St vs Illinois -1.5 o/u46.5

Even before the tragic passing of Mike Leach the Bulldogs were our pick.  His death will do nothing but inspire his players to honor their late coach and will not doubt take the field with pride.

Pick – Miss St ML - WIN

Citrus Bowl – LSU vs Purdue +10.5 o/u58.5

Brian Kelly has won 4 straight non CFP bowl games.  His Tigers proved they were not up to Georgia's level, but we doubt anyone is.  Purdue benefitted from a terrible Big Ten West division and somehow got into a New Years Six bowl.

Pick – LSU -10.5 - WIN

Cotton Bowl – USC vs Tulane +1.5 o/u61.5

Listen we are not lovers of either USC, Lincoln Riley, Caleb Williams, or the Group of 5 soup de jour, Tulane.  But Tulane can run the bowl and Tulane will have a home field advantage as thousands of alumni pour into nearby Arlington.  USC has no defense and no matter how many times Caleb Williams writes the f word on his fingers he won't be able to help his defense stop Tyjae Spears.

Pick – Tulane +1.5 - WIN

Rose Bowl – Utah vs Penn St +2.5 o/u51.5

Utah should not be able to run over Penn St the way they did USC in the PAC 12 Championship, but the Rose Bowl is always a tough task for pasty mid-westerners who are just excited to be there.  Kyle Whittingham and the Utes have lost three bowls in a row including last years Rose Bowl game against Ohio St.  James Franklin is also seeking his first Rose Bowl win and third New Years' six win.

Pick – PSU +2.5 - WIN

Jan 9th

National Championship - TCU vs Georgia -13 o/u62