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Kentucky Derby Day Graded Stakes Betting Guide – Saturday September 5th, 2020
Race 8 – American Turf Stakes, (Grade 2) 1 1/16thmiles on the turf for 3 Year Olds
2 American Butterfly (12-1) runs for Wayne Lukas with Joe Talamo on the mount. He has finished in the money 6 straight times and 7 of his 9 races this year. 4 Field Pass (2-1) has won 4 times this year, but never in a graded stakes race and at low odds is not worth the price. 5 Smooth Like Strait (8-5)has won two in a row both in convincing fashion for Cannon Thoroughbreds.
Bets: Exacta Bos 2,5,8
Race 9 – Pat Day Mile, (Grade 2) 1 Mile for 3 Year Olds
2 Echo Town (7-2) comes in off a great win in the Grade 1 Jerkins at Saratoga for Steve Asmussen and Richardo Santana Jr. 4 Vertical Threat (8-1) has won two in a row and ships in from Del Mar looking to stretch out to a mile for the first time. 6 Tap It to Win (4-1)finished behind Echo Town last time out, but has shown signs of being a first class horse earlier this year for Johnny V and Marke Casse. 7 No Parole (6-1) alternates winning two in a row with a terrible performance and lucky for him he ran a throw away 9th last time out.
Bets: WPS 2 Exacta Box 2,4,6,7
Race 10 – Iroquois Stakes, (Grade 3) 1Mile for 2 Year Olds
10 – Therideofalifetime (7-5) is a short price for a colt getting a new Jockey and trying the distance for the first time. 9 Crazy Shot (15-1) is one for one in his young career and could pay off big. 2 Sittin On Go (15-1) runs for Dale Romans with Corey Lanerie on the mount. 1 Drop Anchor (15-1) won his only race and is out of the great Anchor Down for Kenny McPeek.
Bets: WPS 1,2,9
Race 11 – Churchill Distaff Turf Mile, (Grade 2) 1 Mile on the Turf for Fillies and Mares 4 Years Old and Up
4 Newspaperofrecord (4-5) runs for Chad Brown with Javier Castellano on the mount. She has won both her races this year in easy fashion and loves the surface here at Churchill. 3 Juliet Foxtrot (5-1) has beaten some good horse in her career, but seems to be a step below the very best.
Bets: Win 4 Exacta Box 4,3,8
Race 12 – Derby City Distaff Stakes, (Grade 1) 7 Furlongs for Fillies and Mares 4 Years Old and Up
1 Mia Mischief (6-1) has finished in the money 6 straight times winning 3 of those contests for Steve Asmussen and Ricardo Santana Jr. 4 Bell’s the One (10-1) won over the Churchill surface on May 30thgoing 6 furlongs. 9 Bellafina (3-1) gets Big Money Mike Smith for the first time hoping to take down 8 Serengeti Empress (9-5) after losing to her in the Ballerina Stakes last time out.
Bets: Tri Box 1,9,8
Race 13 – Turf Classic Stakes, (Grade 1) 1 1/8thMiles on the Turf for 4 Year Olds and Up
1 Factor This (3-1) has won 4 races in a row three of which have been graded stakes for Brad Cox and Shaun Bridgmohan. 3 Rockemperor (7-2) cuts back in distance and looks to improve upon his last two finished where he lost by a nose and neck respectively. 4 Digital Age (6-1) has the dream connections of Chad Brown, Javier Castellano and Klaravich Stables. He won last time out in an allowance at Saratoga and will need a big performance today to win again. 9 Somelikeithotbrown (8-1)won the Bernard Baruch Handicap at the end of July in Saratoga and is in perfect form to produce an upset here today.
Bets: WPS 9 Exacta Box 1,3,9
Race 14 – The Kentucky Derby, (Grade 1) 1 ¼ Miles for 3 Year Olds
There is no beating around the bush, 17 Tiz The Law (3-5)is head and shoulders better than this field and it will take a freak occurrence for him to lose. Check out my Preview video https://youtu.be/Xk5yyQ5QzGwfor all my picks and how to make money with such a big favorite.