MLB OVER/UNDER Spectacular

MLB 2021 Over/Under Spectacular Wrap Up

Final Stats

15-15 Overall

7-5 betting UNDERs

8-10 betting OVERs

AL - 4-11 East 2-5, Central 1-4, West 1-4

NL - 11-4 East 3-2, Central 3-2, West 5-0

MLB 2019 Over/Under Spectacular Wrap up

Finals Stats

12-18 Overall

4-7 betting on OVERs

8-11 betting on UNDERs

AL - 5-10, East 1-4, Central 3-2, West 1-4

NL - 7-8, East 3-2, Central 3-2, West 1-4

Top Ten Picks

6-4

2022 MLB OVER/UNDER Spectacular Wrap Up

Final Stats

13-16 Overall

4-7 betting on OVERs

9-8 betting on UNDERs

AL - 5-9, East 1-3, Central 2-3, West 2-3

NL - 8-7, East 3-2, Central 3-2, West 2-3

Top Ten Picks

7-3!

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Rays Under - 89.5 - WIN

Blue Jays Under - 92.5 - LOSS

Astros Over -91.5 - WIN

Nationals Under - 71.5 -WIN

Cubs Under - 75.5 - Easy WIN

Dodgers Over - 97.5 - WIN

Cardinals Over - 84.5 -  WIN

Padres Under - 90.5 - WIN

Diamondbacks Under - 66.5 - LOSS

Cleveland Under - 76.5 - LOSS

AL East

Yankees 91.5 – UNDER – Questions not only in the rotation, but now in the bullpen with the once ultra reliable Chapman, make this number a bit of a stretch for a Yankee team that is in serious need of a rebuild.  Torres, Hicks, and Voit are a trio that leaves much to be desired and unfortunately Judge can only produce while he is on the field, which as Yankee fans know all too well is not nearly enough.  - LOSS 

Red Sox 85.5 – OVER – The Sox had a quietly excellent offseason adding Trevor Story.  Chris Sale being injured again is not a great way to start the season off, but Boston has built a solid rotation around reliable arms. - LOSS

Rays 89.5 – UNDER – The Rays have consistently over achieved over the past 4 seasons.  While there is no reason to suspect the Rays will fail to win 90 games, our experts just don’t see it happening, and sometimes you have to go with your gut. - WIN

Blue Jays 92.5 – UNDER – The Blue Jays are a disappointment machine and 2022 will be no different.  This might be the easiest bet of the year. Orioles 62.5 – OVER – In what might shock some people our experts like the Orioles to make a major jump from last year’s dismal performance.  In no way will they compete for a the playoffs, but we do see them winning from time to time.  - LOSS

Orioles 61.5 - No pick

AL Central 

Tigers 77.5 – OVER – Our experts are not sure what to make of the Tigers offseason.  Will the addition of Javy Baez help or hurt this young club?  Last year the Tiger’s finished with a flurry of wins making their season respectable.  We are betting on some early success in a weak division leads to an above .500 season. - LOSS

White Sox 91.5 – UNDER – Last year the Sox ran away with the Central and were ultimately exposed as frauds when they got whipped in the ALDS.  That type of beating always has a carry over and no matter what magic Larussa cooks up 90 wins is just not in the cards. - WIN

Twins 81.5 – UNDER – Yes the Twins landed Carlos Carrera, which surprised everyone in baseball, but no they did not improve enough to warrant a winning season number.  Yes the division is weak, and yes 19 games against Cleveland (we refuse to use either the old or new name) will help any team, but no the Twins will not win 82 games this season. - WIN

Cleveland 76.5 – UNDER – Cleveland has little hope of winning 70 games let alone 77.  With a payroll south of 40 million and a fan base dwindling by the minute after losing their heritage, the Cleveland baseball team can expect little to no support at home. - LOSS

Royals 74.5 – OVER – Did the Royals improve in the offseason?  It is hard to know for sure, but we do know that the division did not.  The White Sox downgraded and Cleveland traded away any talent they had.  - LOSS

AL West 

Astros 91.5 – OVER – The Astros lost Carrera which is an obvious blow to the middle of that infield and lineup, but they are still the best team in the West.  One season soon Houston will be dethroned, but it is not going to be 2022. - WIN

Mariners 83.5 – UNDER – Seattle overachieved more than almost any other team last year winning 90 games.  Is it possible they do it again?  Yes, but it’s not likely.  - LOSS

Rangers 74.5 – OVER – Last year we loved the OVER on the Rangers and last year wee were wrong.  This year we don’t love the OVER, but we do like it.  Additions to the rotation of Jon Gray and Garrett Richards helped to solidify a big offseason after they signed Marcus Semien to a 7 year deal. - LOSS

Angels 84.5 - OVER - The two big questions are can Shohei Otani replicate his MVP season from last year and what effect with Joe Maddon have on what has been a chronically underachieving team.  Our money is on the Angels improving over 77 wins last year and contending for the playoffs this year. - LOSS

A’s 68.5 – UNDER – Billy Beam is in complete rebuild mode having dealt nearly every promising player the A’s had.  With no pitching to speak of the A’s are in for a world of hurt.  Last time Billy broke down the team this much they suffered through a 68 and 69 win season. -  WIN

NL East 

Atlanta 91.5 – UNDER – Congratulations to Atlanta on winning the World Series!  They did it without their all star Centerfielder Ronald Acuna who returns in 2022 from knee surgery.  The loss of Freddie Freeman is huge, but Matt Olsen is an adequate replacement and should prove worthy of following in Freddie’s MVP caliber shoes. - LOSS

Mets 88.5 – UNDER – The Mets are the exact reason we wait to publish our annual OVER/UNDER spectacular.  With deGrom on the shelf for at least a month and Scherzer already dealing with a leg issue the Mets mega rotation is down its’ two biggest stars.  The Mets did not solve the chemistry problems in the offseason and their bullpen, while improved with Ottovino is still subject to the awful Edwin Diaz. -  LOSS

Phillies 85.5 – OVER – There are two things we know for sure about Philadelphia.  First, management builds teams for the ballpark they play in hello Schwarber and Castellanos, so expect the Phillies to always be around .500.  Second the NL East is not as good as everyone think it is, so the Phillies will beat up on the Marlins and Nationals. - WIN

Nationals 71.5 – UNDER – The Nationals are just two full season removed from winning the World Series and are already a laughing stock.  Yes they seem to have a plan that is built around building around Juan Soto in a few years.  The only question is will he still be around when the Nats higher ups feel like he is ready to lead a team to a Championship. - WIN

Marlins 76.5 – UNDER – Derek Jeter leaving should have little if any effect on the on-field product.  It is still questionable what he did other than giving Giancarlo to the Yankees as Marlins President.  The Marlins won 67 games last year and we don’t see any way they improve by 20% this year. - WIN

NL Central

Brewers 89.5 – UNDER – The Brewers won 95 games last year thanks to great starting pitching and one of if not the best bullpens in baseball.  Corbin Burnes won the Cy Young over perineal favorites like Max Scherzer and Walker Buehler.  Will he be able to reproduce last year’s success?  We are betting on no. - WIN

Cubs 75.5 – UNDER – When things go bad in the Windy City they go bad.  Historically the Cubs are no strangers to sub .500 seasons and with what looks like a total rebuild we expect another one this year. - WIN

Pirates 65.5 – OVER – This might just be the toughest number on the board this season.  We all know the Pirates will be terrible and the only thing bringing fans to PNC Park are the views and fireworks, but we don’t expect the Bucs to be a total disaster so 66 wins in in the realm of the possible. - LOSS

Cardinals 84.5 – OVER – The Cardinals are MLB’s version of the Steelers.  They simply do not lose more games than they win.  St Louis is a franchise filled with success and every year they figure out a way to be in the thick of it come October. - WIN

Reds 74.5 – OVER – After a surprising 2021 Cincinnati looks to be on the right track.  They may not win the Central but with expanded playoffs they will certainly be in contention come September.  - LOSS

NL West 

Diamondbacks 66.5 – UNDER – You might ask how could anything be worse than the 2021 Diamondback team and the answer is it can not.  Arizona was dreadful last season compiling just 52 wins.  Will they be worse this year?  We don’t know, but we do know that they won’t sniff 67 wins. - LOSS

Dodgers 97.5 – OVER – Every year we say that picking any team to win 99 or 100 games is a fool’s errand, but the last two full seasons the Dodgers won 106 games.  Bank it. - WIN

Giants 85.5 – OVER – The Giants were the surprise of Major League Baseball last season.  They won 107 games and played the Dodgers even in a classic NLDS.  This year we expect them to be the same gutty team they were last season, they may not win 107 games, but they will be approaching 90.  - LOSS

Padres 90.5 – UNDER – There are serious problems in San Diego that go beyond Fernando Tatis Jr’s motorcycle accident.  For years the Padres have tried to put together championship quality teams and for years they have fell short.  2022 will be no different. - WIN

Rockies 68.5 – UNDER – Absolutely no one can explain the Rockies to us.  First they trade away Nolan Arenado, then they let Jon Gray and Trevor Story walk, only to then spend a fortune on an aging Kris Bryant.  The only thing we know for sure is that the Rockies are in the best division in baseball and will struggle to compete because of it. -  LOSS