NFL Over/Under Spectacular

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 2022 NFL Over/Under Spectacular  

2022 Final Stats

17-15 on the season

NFC 6-10

AFC 11-5

7-6 when betting OVERS

10-9 when betting UNDERS

Top Ten 4-6

2021 Final Stats

19-9-4 on the Season!

NFC 8-5-3

AFC 11-4-1

10-6-2 when betting OVERS

9-3-2 when betting UNDERS

Top Ten - 9-1!!!

2022 Top Ten - 4-6 - LOSS

Jets OVER 5.5 - WIN

Bills UNDER 11.5 - LOSS

Dolphins OVER 8.5 - WIN

Ravens UNDER 10.5 - WIN

Packers OVER 10.5 - LOSS

Panthers UNDER 6.5 - LOSS

Buccaneers OVER 11.5 - LOSS

49ers UNDER 9.5 - LOSS

Seahawks UNDER 5.5 - LOSS

Cardinals UNDER 8.5 - WIN

NFL Over Under Picks for all 32 Teams

AFC East

Patriots OVER 8.5 – Bill Belichik just do not stay down for long. After a bad 2020 season the Pats turned it around and made the playoffs under Rookie QB Mac Jones last year. This year they added veteran DeVante Parker to an already quality receiving core. The Pats have much loftier goals than the 9 wins they’ll need to cover this number. - LOSS

Jets OVER 5.5 – Once again the Jets find themselves hoping for nothing more than improvement. With the Zack Attack on the bench for at least the first week of the season Joe Flacco takes the reigns. The Jets have the hardest first 10 games we have ever seen and they’ll be lucky to be 3-7, but the back half of schedule is about as soft as imaginable so 6 wins should be easily achievable. - WIN

Bills UNDER 11.5 – Yes the Bills have Josh Allen who once again will be in the running for league MVP, but they also have one of the toughest schedules in the league. With road games against LA, Baltimore, Kansas City, and Cincinnati the Bills are looking at a 10 win season IF everything breaks right. - LOSS

Dolphins OVER 8.5 – The Dolphins went out and added all world receiver Tyreek Hill to an already potent offense. Tua Tagovailoa lead the fins to a 9 win season a year ago and this year they have an eight game stretch where the toughest team they play is the Vikings. - WIN

AFC North

Bengals UNDER 9.5 – It is with great caution that we predict the Bengals will not reach double digit wins. They have an incredibly tough schedule with trips to Dallas, Tampa, New England, and Baltimore, plus they host the Chiefs and Bills. Add all that into a potential Super Bowl hangover and weird offseason for Joe Burrow and we think Cincinnati is ripe for a regression this year. - LOSS

Ravens UNDER 10.5 – Listen we love Lamar in the regular season, hell we even love him in the post season because he is so easy to bet against. His best days are behind him, the league has not only caught up to him, but surpassed him. The Ravens have been wise to not cave to his contract demands and he’ll be lucky to find a job next season let alone 11 wins this one. - WIN

Steelers UNDER 7.5 – We have never picked the Steelers to finish the year under .500 and that has always been a winning choice. Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season, but he has never had a team so devoid of talent. While we do not see this team falling apart we sadly do not see it winning 8 games either. All streaks come to an end and this year the great Mike Tomlin’s winning streak ends as well. - LOSS

Browns UNDER 8.5 – Who the heck really knows what the Browns will be this year. Yes Deshaun Watson will return in the later part of the season and yes Jacoby Brissett has prepared all off season to start the season as QB 1, but there has to be turmoil in the locker room, there has to be havoc in the coaches room, and let’s face it the Browns weren’t that great to begin with. 9 wins is a tall order for any team, let alone one with so many question marks. - WIN

AFC South

Texans UNDER 4.5  - It is hard to say that the Texans overachieved with 4 wins last year, but they kind of did. They were able to move beyond the Deshaun Watson mess and Davis Mills proved to be a competent NFL quarterback. They have some winnable games on the schedule and if the ball bounces the right way each and every time they might win 6 games, but the odds say some of those break will swing the over way making 5 wins a longshot at best. - WIN

Titans UNDER 9.5 – This is without a doubt one of the toughest numbers on the board. The Titans have been a dominant force for the past few years racking up 12 wins in route to the playoffs last season. This year they went ahead and messed with their chemistry by interjecting Malik Willis into the offense. How will Tannehill respond, will the locker room be fractured after his first poor performance? Drama kills football teams and Tennessee just signed up for a whole lot of it. - WIN

Jaguars OVER 6.5 – In what is another tough number the Jaguars return after a disastrous season under the much ballyhooed and now disgraces Urban Meyer. Trevor Lawrence now has a chance to prove it was Meyer’s failure and not his. With winnable games against the Texans, Lions, Jets, Giants, and Washington we are betting on the young QB who just a year ago was as much a can’t miss as Andrew Luck. - WIN

Colts UNDER 9.5 – Yes the Colts won 9 games a year ago and if not for the awful play of Carson Wentz in the final weeks of the season they would have easily hit their number last year, but this year a is different story. The division is much better, Carson Wentz has moved on to traumatize another NFC East team and while “everyone” loves Matt Ryan, the man hasn’t won 10 games since 2017. - WIN

AFC West

Chiefs OVER 10.5 – The shine is finally off the Chiefs and there is no better time to jump aboard the OVER train. Yes Tyreek Hill is gone, but Maholmes is still a top qb and Andy Reid is a win machine. - WIN

Chargers OVER 10.5 – This is one of the easiest bets of the entire season. Only a long injury to Justin Herbert could derail the Chargers from winning upwards of 13 games this year. The only question the second team in LA faces is will Brandon Staley’s gimmicks cost his team a true chance at the Lombardi trophy. - LOSS

Raiders UNDER 8.5 – Las Vegas has received a ton of attention and accolades after signing all world receiver DeVante Adams. The only problem with that line of thinking is the Derek Carr is not Aaron Rodgers. The Raiders have a favorable schedule and this number will come down to the last weeks of the season. - WIN

Broncos UNDER 10.5 – There is no team nor player for matter more overhyped than the Denver Broncos and Russell Wilson. Russell is a quality QB who always turns in a fair performance, but he is no Peyton Manning. The Broncos had many more issues than just a bad QB a year ago and while they’ll improve on their 7 wins in 2021 they are absolutely no threat to win 11 games in 2022. - WIN

NFC East

Cowboys UNDER 10.5 – Dak Prescott and Dallas Cowboys are no doubt the class of the NFC East, but that is like being the tallest pygmy. 11 wins is just too high a number for a team that routinely underperforms. - LOSS

Giants OVER 7.5 – Listen the Giants are complete trash.  Daniel Jones will be looking for a job at the nearest Arthur Treachers by Christmas, Saquon Barkley will once again “have tremendous talent and explosiveness” all while running for less than 4 yards per carry. But first year head coach Brian Daboll has the benefit of the easiest schedule in the league and even the lowly 

Giants who have been the worst team in the NFL for the last five years will somehow scrape together 8 wins for the first time since 2016. - WIN

Eagles UNDER 9.5 – Jalen Hurts proved again last year that he is a competent NFL QB, but that is it. He won’t ever lead a team deep into the playoffs, he won’t ever be in the running for an MVP, he is just good enough to hang around the league. The Eagles won 9 games last season and we expect them to be right around that number again in 2022. - LOSS

Commanders OVER 7.5 – Washington is a well-coached hard nosed football team. They won 7 games last season just on the basis of being prepared. This year they add veteran QB Carson Wentz who when healthy is a playoff threat. Washington fans can expect to be in the playoff mix well into December. - WIN

NFC North

Bears UNDER 6.5 – While Justin Fields outperformed our expectations last year he still only won 6 games. We expect the division to improve meaning wins against the Lions and Vikings will be tougher to come by than they were last season. Expect the Bears to be in a lot of games, but also expect them to be on the losing side. - WIN

Packers OVER 10.5 – Green Bay has won 13 games three straight years. Aaron Rodgers is the most gifted QB in NFL history and Matt LaFleur is one hell of a head coach. 11 wins is a joke of number and only injury could prevent this Packer team from hitting this number. - LOSS

Lions OVER 6.5 – This is a truly tough number. The Lions only won 3 games last year, but played much better than anyone expected. Head coach Dan Campbell has another year under his belt and so does QB Jared Goff. In no way do we expect the Lions to contend for a playoff spot, but we do expect them to be in enough games late to warrant this over pick. - WIN

Vikings UNDER 9.5 – Is there any team in the league with less buzz than the Vikings? Kirk Cousins continues to lead this bland team to .500 records and heartbreaking losses in the playoffs. Mike Zimmer has finally been jettisoned in favor of former Ram Offensive coordinator Kevin O’Connell. - LOSS

NFC South

Falcons OVER 4.5 – Listen we get that Marcus Mariota stinks and we even get that Desmond Ritter is a rookie that will take time to develop, but we are not talking about making the playoffs here. We are talking about winning 5 games. Atlanta plays the Seahawks, Panthers (twice), Saints (twice) Bears, Commanders, Steelers, Cardinals, and 49ers, are you going to bet they can’t we 5 of those games? - LOSS

Panthers UNDER 6.5 – The only thing worse than Baker Mayfield on the Browns is him on the Panthers. This Panther team is so broken that even the “Great” Matt Rhule can’t put it together. - LOSS

Buccaneers OVER 11.5 – Tom Brady and Bucs won 13 games last year before Todd Bowles cost them a trip to the Super Bowl. If this team does not hit this number it will be another indictment of the terrible coaching of Todd Bowles. We expect Brady to continue his run of excellence but we are more cautious than ever before due to the presence of the unbelievably incompetent Todd Bowles as Head Coach. -LOSS

Saints UNDER 8.5 – In the past two years the Saints have lost their longtime head coach Sean Payton and franchise leader Drew Brees. Last season the held it together for 9 wins, but we see them trending as down as any team not named the Seahawks. The under will hit and it won’t be close. - WIN

NFC West

Rams OVER 10.5 – Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay do not seem like the type of men that will sit on their laurels after winning the Super Bowl. In fact we expect them to double down on their efforts and come out even hungrier than last year. 11 wins should not be out of reach for this team, even with the brutal schedule they have. - LOSS

Cardinals UNDER 8.5 – Never in the history of the NFL did a team cave worse than did Arizona when they gave Kyler Murray his new contract. Kyler Murray comes up the smallest in the biggest games and is just an attitude problem waiting to erupt. The Cardinals will be lucky to win 7 games and that is if and only if everything breaks just so. - WIN

49ers UNDER 9.5 – The 49ers are a quality team that will be tough all season long. They have made an organizational decision to sacrifice this season for the future. Trey Lance needs to play to get better, no one argues that, but Jimmy G gives this team the best chance to win now, unfortunately for Niner fans and players that is not what the organization cares about. - LOSS

Seahawks UNDER 5.5 – When your preseason QB battle is between Gino Smith and Drew Lock your number can not be low enough. - LOSS