NFL Over/Under Spectacular

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 2023 NFL Over/Under Spectacular  

2022 Final Stats

17-15 on the season

NFC 6-10

AFC 11-5

7-6 when betting OVERS

10-9 when betting UNDERS

Top Ten 4-6

2021 Final Stats

19-9-4 on the Season!

NFC 8-5-3

AFC 11-4-1

10-6-2 when betting OVERS

9-3-2 when betting UNDERS

Top Ten - 9-1!!!

2022 Top Ten - 4-6 - LOSS

Jets OVER 5.5 - WIN

Bills UNDER 11.5 - LOSS

Dolphins OVER 8.5 - WIN

Ravens UNDER 10.5 - WIN

Packers OVER 10.5 - LOSS

Panthers UNDER 6.5 - LOSS

Buccaneers OVER 11.5 - LOSS

49ers UNDER 9.5 - LOSS

Seahawks UNDER 5.5 - LOSS

Cardinals UNDER 8.5 - WIN

NFL Over Under Picks for all 32 Teams

AFC East

Patriots UNDER 7.5 - The Patriots are stuck in no mans land with painfully average Mac Jones and skill players that scare absolutely nobody.  Belichick proved last the two years are even great coaches need great players to win and that is something he is lacking in spades add playing in the toughest division in football and this has all the makings of a tough season for the boys from Boston.

Jets OVER 9.5 – Expectations have never been higher for Gang Green.  Future hall of famer Aaron Rodgers takes over for Zach the panic attack Wilson and leads a team loaded with talent.  Head Coach Robert Saleh has still yet to prove he knows how to win, but even a terrible coach will win more than he loses with this QB and team.

Bills UNDER 10.5 – The Bills continue to tread water as one of the top teams in the league.  Josh Allen has yet to take the final step to the top of the hill and instead has plateaued.  His propensity to turn the ball over keeps the Bills from being a true Super Bowl favorite and the team's lack of a true running attack will doom any hopes they have of a long playoff run.

Dolphins OVER 9.5 – The Dolphins season rests on the health of Tua, if he's healthy this is a 13 plus win team.  If he's not there is no telling how bad it can get in South Florida.  We are betting on the later and if we're right the fins might have two MVP candidates when the season is finished.

AFC North

Bengals UNDER 11.5 – Joe Burrow and Bengals are at the top of the league and will remain there for as long as Burrow stays healthy.  He was plagued this off season with a few nagging injuries so we expect a slow start which will cost them the number one seed and 12 wins.

Ravens UNDER 10.5 –The Ravens are a good consistent team that will win around 10 games every year under John Harbaugh and with Lamar Jackson.  The division is stronger than it has ever been and with the "addition" of totally not gay Odell Beckham the locker room should be fractured by week 6 so we are taking the under this season.

Steelers OVER 8.5 – Last year we took the under and bet against Mike Tomlin and lost.  We like to think we learn from our mistakes so we will be returning to the old strategy of riding with Tomlin.

Browns UNDER 9.5 – DeShaun Watson never returned to form when he came back last season after nearly 2 years removed from playing.  He and the Browns should be much better this years, but the division is tough and 10 wins might be just out of reach for this talented team.

AFC South

Texans UNDER 6.5  - The Texans are perhaps the worse team in the NFL.  They have a new head coach after firing Lovie Smith last season.  They have a new QB in CJ Stroud who could not handle on the field or off the field pressure in college.  The chances of the Texans winning 7 games is minute, minute.

Titans OVER 7.5 – Yes the Titans "formula" is stale.  Yes Tannehill is average a best. And yes Derrick Henry is another year older.  But Mike Vrabel is one hell of a coach and just like Mike Tomlin does proves every year, good coaches win games, so 8 wins are well within reach for this Titan team.

Jaguars OVER 9.5 – The Jags beat the number last year as Trevor Lawrence proved what he can be without Urban Meyer in the way.  10 wins if a lot for a developing team, but we and most experts think the Jags have all the makings of the surprise team of the year.

Colts UNDER 6.5 – Man the Colts have fallen on hard times.  Matt Ryan was a complete and utter disaster last season and Jim Irsay alienated his best talent in Jonathon Taylor.  Anthony Richardson who was trash at Florida somehow tricked the league into thinking he has "talent" and will start the season at QB1, who will finish?  We're not sure but it damn well won't be the player formerly known as AR-15.

AFC West

Kansas City OVER 11.5 – They won the Super Bowl last year and lost some players to free agency but Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes are still there as well as Travis Kelce and Chris Jones so we are taking the over yet again.

Chargers OVER 9.5 – Sooner or later the Chargers are going to break through and have one of those seasons where they blow away the league.  We think this season is going to be that type of year.  Justin Herbert enters his 4th season and should be in contention for the MVP.

Raiders OVER 6.5 – Jimmy G wins football games and if you're telling us that all he has to do is win 7 games in a 17 game season we are telling you to put the house on it.

Broncos UNDER 8.5 – Sean Payton is now the head coach and everyone is expecting Russell Wilson to return to form, but the problem is he was never that good to begin with.  The Broncos are virtually devoid of talent on the offensive side of the ball and no amount of coaching can change that.

NFC East

Cowboys OVER 9.5 – Dak Prescott and Dallas Cowboys are the class of the NFC East, even though most "experts" will tell you it's the Eagles.  Their defense is perhaps the best in the league lead by Micah Parsons and Trevon Diggs and Mike McCarthy wins everywhere he goes.  Count the Cowboys in for at least 10 win and maybe a lot more.

Giants UNDER 7.5 – We called it perfectly last season as the Giants beat an easy schedule and made the playoffs but were still an awful team.  They are no saddled with the talentless Daniel Jones for the long term and the never explosive Mr. 82 yards per game Saquon Barkley.  This year the schedule toughens up just a bit so we expect the Giants to "regress" and come in just under the number.

Eagles UNDER 11.5 – Last year we were positive that Jalen Hurts is just a competent NFL QB and we were wrong.  He had a great season.  But before we bet on him to led this Eagle team to 12 wins we are going to need to see it one more time.  The Eagles will be good, but 12 wins is a lot for a second year coach and a team trying to rebound for a Super Bowl loss.

Commanders OVER 6.5 – Washington is a well-coached hard nosed football team. They've beaten the number both of the last two years and we expect them to do it again behind rookie QB Sam Howell.  

NFC North

Bears UNDER 7.5 – The Bears had the number one pick last year, which means they had the worst record in the league, yet "everyone" is expecting big things are Justin Fields.  The problem is that the Bears have only one way to win the few games they can and that is by sacrificing Fields to the running game.  No way he holds up all season and no way the Bears win 8 games in 2023.

Packers UNDER 7.5 – Green Bay is finally without a hall of fame quarterback and boy are they going to miss Rodgers.  Jordan Love is the stiff of all stiff and we expect them to be at the bottom of the league in almost all offensive categories along with wins.

Lions OVER 9.5 – The Lions shocked the world (not us) last year by covering their number and nearly making the playoffs.  This year expectations are as high in Detroit as we can ever remember and for good reason.   Jared Goff continues to prove that we good coaching and talent around him he can win games and lead teams.  10 wins would be a major milestone for the Lions and something they've done just 3 times in last 30 years.

Vikings OVER 8.5 – Look we don't like the Vikings and we don't like Kirk Cousins, but we do respect his ability to win close games.  The Vikings will benefit from a weak division and the addition of rookie play maker Jordan Addison.  

NFC South

Falcons OVER 8.5 – The Falcons are going ground and pound with the addition of rookie running back Bijan Robinson to a backfield already led by second year QB Desmond Ridder.  If their two young runner can hold up over the long 17 game NFL season the birds will be in the thick of the playoff hunt and beat this tough number, if they can't it won't even be close.

Panthers UNDER 7.5 – No one knows what the plan in Charlotte is.  Bryce Young is not an NFL QB, Frank Reich has never really proven can win without top tier talent and let's face it the Panthers have no home field advantage whatsoever.  

Buccaneers UNDERER 6.5 – Last season Brady dragged this team and coach to an eight win season and first round playoff exit.  It would be crazy to think Baker Mayfield is going to do the same this season.  Look for Todd Bowels to do what he does and win 4 or 5 games.

Saints UNDER 9.5 – The Saints fell on tough times last season with inconsistent play at the QB position.  In the off season they went out and got Derek Carr who has never lived up to his "talent", but was always hamstrung by playing with bad defenses.  The Saints will be much improved but Carr has only won 10 games twice in his 9 year career. 

NFC West

Rams OVER 6.5 – Everyone has given up on the Rams after a bad 2022 season, but with a healthy and rested Matt Stafford L.A should fire on all cylinders and eclipse this number early.

Cardinals UNDER 4.5 – Even with Kyler Murray we would say take the under for this Cardinal team.  There is something fishy going on in the desert and that my friends is never a good thing.

49ers OVER 10.5 – We got burned by taking the UNDER last season betting that Trey Lance stinks and while we were right, he also got hurt, so Jimmy G came in and won a bunch of games before getting hurt himself and the Niners found Brock Purdy.  This year the Niners enter the season with Purdy who is becoming a folk hero right before our eyes.  The Niners will win double digit games this year, 11 is well within reach, so take the OVER and hope we never see Sam Darnold.

Seahawks UNDER 8.5 – Lets how much Seattle likes year two of Gino Smith.